A forecast that uses information from the situation being forecast. The actual values of the <a href="search.pl?p=causal variables">causal variables</a> are used, not the forecasted values; however, the parameters are not updated. This term is used interchangeably with <a href="search.pl?p=conditional forecast">conditional forecast</a>. It can help in assessing predictions of the effects of change in <a href="search.pl?p=explanatory variables">explanatory variables</a>.<o:p></o:p></P>